Portugal vs Spain: Bookmakers' verdict for World Cup 2026 Round of 16 clash

The AT&T Stadium in Dallas will host a blockbuster Round of 16 encounter at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Monday, July 6, as Portugal face Spain. Kick-off is scheduled for 3:00 PM local time (22:00 Kyiv time). Bookmakers have installed La Roja as clear favorites, pricing a Spanish win in regular time at 1.95. A Portugal victory is listed at 4.01, while a draw is available at 3.72. One intriguing betting option is the 'Spain to win or draw & under 3.5 total goals' market, offered at 1.91. History backs this play: Portugal have won only two of the last ten head-to-head meetings inside 90 minutes, and just three of those fixtures produced four or more goals. Cristiano Ronaldo is priced at 2.85 to find the net. The Portuguese captain scored his first ever World Cup knockout goal against Croatia in the previous round. He also has a notable history against Spain — a hat-trick in the 2018 group stage (3-3) and a crucial equalizer in the 2024/25 Nations League final (2-2, 5-3 on penalties). Another angle is the 'Most yellow cards (match result excluding a draw) — Portugal' market at 1.67. The last three meetings between these sides have been card-heavy: nine bookings for Portugal and seven for Spain. At this World Cup, Portugal players have already collected five yellow cards across four matches, compared to just two for Spain.